NH2012: Cable Talking Heads Already Diminishing A Romney Victory

I’ve been channel hopping this afternoon and this evening and I’m hearing two talking points all over cable:

• Mitt Romney needs to win by more than 32% (the total he got in 2008) or it hurts him.
• Romney has been losing steam in polling the past couple of days.

Both of these notions are 100% false.

The Cable Newsers are focusing on the percentage of the vote that Romney could get, but not the strength of his victory.  In most polls over the last six months, Mitt Romney has had anywhere from a 15 to 20 point lead on his next closest competitor.

If he beats them by any more than ten points, it’s a decisive victory.  If it’s closer to a 20 point margin of victory, it’s a landslide–it would be in any other political contest and the same is 100% true tonight.

I’ve also heard a lot that Romney has been losing steam in the polling with regard to his support.  His numbers may have gone down some, but two cable networks have talked about how large percentages of undeclared voters have made their decisions in the last few days alone.  Then they tell you that New Hampshire always manages to surprise–somehow I don’t think they’re taking that part seriously.

One thing is for sure…it’s going to be a big night.

I love it when people who have spent hardly any time in New Hampshire try to sound like experts.  (Yes, John King, I’m talking about you.)